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How we need to prepare


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Doing your best

When you are looking at prepping you are simply doing what you can to improve your chances of survival after an event. It doesn’t matter what the event is everything you do to prepare for that event improves your chances. However, there are people out there, myself included, who look at each scenario and consider worst cases. This is why we consider people breaking in after our preps and mass exoduses from the cities tearing down every house across the country for every scrap of food they can find. Many of these scenarios are not really survivable and it frightens us and makes us wonder why we are prepping at all.

The reality is though that there are several events that are not survivable. Our sun going supernova, and a major asteroid strike to name but two. We think about then and then we ignore them just as most of us do about death in general, there is nothing we can do so let us just get on with life and ignore it. Many scenarios though are survivable so we prepare for them. The after effects like the mass exodus we do what we can and hope that it isn’t as bad as we can imagine. For most of us that will be the case, for many of us it will be reality and if we have not considered it for our personal situation it would be life and death.

Never forget prepping does not guarantee survival. Your underground bunker wih 100 years supply of MREs, a nuclear reactor for power and an entire self contained eco system could very well be contaminated with the latest bird flu virus that wipes out 100% of those infected.

So far our species has been lucky. Most of the organisms on this planet are now in a balanced state and although there are many deaths few are from biological issues like viruses. Most are from issues such as tornadoes, quakes and floods. Nature though doesn’t care. If we had not learnt about sanitation and how to deal with disease then she could very well have bumped us all off by now ready to try again with another species.

It is all very frightened and daunting but we must always remember we can only do our best. Everything we do improves our chances, every item we put away, every scenario we consider and spend time thinking about how to resolve improved our responses and therefore our chances. Conversely every scenario we don’t think about and every action we don’t perform keeps our chances static. We are no worse off than the average person but then we do think that most of them will starve to death in less than a year.

So when you read on this forum about inner cities being run over by people willing to tear your throat out for a tin of beans then consider what you can do. Can you move? Not everyone can. Can you hide? Again not everyone can. Can you become that person that everyone fears. After all they are going to be the survivors in there, it could be you. On the other hand you may be able to lock yourself away somewhere, grow some food indoors and avoid any contact if you can’t move away.

The point is though that as nobody knows exactly what will happen we have no idea what the aftermath will be. A fatal bird flu won’t have people entering every house, especially those with warning signs. So even if you only have the capability to put a few tins away that could very well be the difference and if enough time elapses then those stores could be substantial. For all we know there may be no real collapse just a disruption in the supply chain that has everyone without food for a month. What you consider pitiful stores then will keep you very comfortably and with, potentially, martial law to protect you those wanting to take it could be kept under control. You just don’t know.

Just do your best. It is all you can do and if anything does happen you will be better off for it.

Livestock Update

Been busy with work lately so not had time to put fingers to keyboard except for work so I thought I’d give a little update on how we are doing with the chickens.

Chickens are doing well. They still love to see people coming out the house and rush over to see what they have to eat. They seem healthy enough and they certainly get about a bit.

The egg laying has tapered off over the last few weeks with just one laying atm. I thought they would all have stopped by now so it is a bonus.

One thing that I was warned about but didn’t see as an issue was the fact they would tear up the garden. They have totally demolished wherever the run was placed and it is just bare earth. Which was fine until it started raising. The place is a mud bath with large placements of chicken poop. It is all going in the composter atm.

They have also become a bit noisier than they were, they are squabbling a little amongst themselves if they spend too much time in the run. When they have the run of the garden they have very few squabbles. I think one is turning into a bully.

I’ve also just aquired 10,000 new contributors to my microholding. I’ve a hive full of bees. I’ve a friend who is a bee keeper and I’ve arranged a course for early next year so that I can learn a bit more about them. Although from what I can see they are as easy to keep as the chickens. I bought a Omlet Beehaus on eBay and the book that came with it was superb. I was concerned about putting them in the back garden but from what I have read they should not be an issue. I did try an keep it quiet because if someone gets stung then it would obviously be one of my bees but I just couldn’t get it past the nosy neighbour. It isn’t something you an just hide. After the journey home the hive was thrumming like the Ark on Raiders of the Lost Ark. I didn’t want to take too long getting it in place. It’s all wrapped up for the winter and I just need to do some checks over the weekend. Try out my new gear.

Then it is the NW meet on Sunday. Should be an interesting time with the solar panel and CCTV demonstrations. I’m looking forward to it.

OPSEC issues

One of the biggest issues that we all have is OPSEC. All our other issues are outside our control in many respects, financial, storage, time, etc. it is just we just can’t really do anything about them. OPSEC though is something that we can do but we don’t really exercise the control to do it properly. It isn’t actually us that is the threat here, it is the others in our family. They just don’t see a reason for not talking about the things we do. It is a source of conversation to them. In fact for most of us our OPSEC is already compromised we just don’t know it.

OPSEC is going to be the issue that haunts us after an event, who knows what we have, have we hidden the stuff well, who will notice that we don’t seem to be as hungry as they are, who will notice our kids laughing while their kids cry and remember that time five years ago their kid came home and said he had seen the largest pile of beans he had seen in his life.

It’s not our fault, we are just not geared up for lying and our kids like to show off and talk about things they think others will like to help their relationships. Thus the fact you have some bows is known among the kids but the parents are not aware of it. When TSHTF and a hungry parent starts asking questions then they can quickly come to the conclusion that something is not right with you. Then they start to do something about it and before you know it someone is knocking at your door asking questions.

For those bugging out it is much less of an issue. You won’t have shared so much background information with the new neighbours, if you have any, but bugging in means the existing neighbours have several years worth of knowledge to call on.

For those with no kids and just themselves interacting with the neighbours then it is an easy thing just to keep things to yourselves, that is provided of course that your better half is bought in and doesn’t tell all her mates about your insane craving for storing food for emergencies. I suspect that the women in most streets know a lot more about all the blokes than we could imagine.

What can you do about it? Well, to be honest I don’t know. It is probably already too late for the knowledge and you are bugging in for a reason, you can’t change that but you could consider doing two things.

First of all spend some time explaining what could happen after an event to your family, show them examples from the TV. Let them know that there is real danger here to the rest of the family, you never know they may get it and every little helps.

The second, and the only one you can do something about is to look at hiding your stuff better. That conflicts with the space requirement though but you could try burying food in caches around the place. Unless you make it obvious you are burying things then it will soon get forgotten. Having bows and tools in the house may be the way you got noticed and raised their suspicions but they are going to be ignored in the hunt for food. Just don’t empty your caches and fill the pantry. Being suspicious and not finding food means their suspicions will be allayed and that means you can carry on being careful. Hopefully, by the time they realise that you are not suffering as they are they will be too weak to do anything. Strength though will be in numbers and you may have to consider a pre emptive strike before they can build a team up if you are detected. Just try and keep in with them as long as you can so you can hear the rumours.

Having just to hide food should make things a little easier but don’t forget chickens, rabbits, fish, etc. are food and you want to keep them as part of your long term plans. Bringing them indoors is a good step, it has been done that way for centuries but it is practically impossible to hide them in a search. They may have to be sacrificed for OPSEC and that will be a problem for the future.

Don’t do it all yourself

One mistake that most of us as preppers tend to do is decide that we will do everything ourselves. It is impossible. We can, and should, try and understand everything but some things will need to be left to specialists or people with more time.

The tasks that should be left to specialists are tasks that require skills and experience that you don’t have and the tasks that should be left with people with more time is where your time is best spent on a specialist task and the task is something most people can do.

This means that everyone gets to do their share and you don’t get overloaded. I’ve spent years learning about everything I think will be relevant to us in a SHTF scenario and most of them I stopped when I had picked up enough to know what to do and was consistently getting results. Enough to know that I knew what to do although not enough to make me an expert. And example is archery. I can hit a plate size target at about 25 yards about 9 times out of ten. If I spent a lot more hours I’d be doing it 10 out of 10 so I know I can pick it up if I need it and build my skills up. Could I go hunting day one? No but I have food to cover that. I would practise then if I needed to. I may not need to, someone else may be better than me a lot quicker. There are a few things that fall into the 80/20 category that I am nowhere near skillfull at but am confident that I can do it when required after a re-familiarisation exercise.

Some subject though I have identified as area where I want to become an expert or at least have the equipment for an expert. This gives me significant leverage and a level of control. For example, I’ll never be a Doctor, although I know a lot about the basics and feel comfortable with basic medical care. First Aid for accidents and basic healthcare. If necessary I’ll have a go at some things but in general the difficult stuff will just get left. I have however a very comprehensive doctors kit. Most of the tools and quite a few books. Thus I can provide a doctor with the tools of his trade. That was I have a little bit of leverage and this should help when it comes to prioritisation of resources and who gets what treatment. After all I will take my ball and go home if necessary. Hopefully, as with all things we hope it never comes to that.

There are some things that do fit within my skill-set and/or of interest to me. Those items I will spend time on because they are hobbies or of interest to me now. An example is bee keeping where I want to go on a course and learn more about them. How to get the most of them and how to produce Honey and Wax.

I have looked at most of the areas where we will be on our own after an event and for each I have made a decision on whether I want to become an expert, or at least gain experience, I want to collect the tools so I can get a member of the family as an expert or it is such a task, like a doctor, that I should get the tools and equipment to gain an advantage.. The final part is the ones we can all do, such as planting seeds, but is hard backbreaking work and I’d rather sub contract it out if possible so I can spend my time in a skilled area where my skills would be more effective.

They may not be areas where you have skills and experience now but if you are interested a hobby now could be a lifestyle after an event where your skills could be of great benefit.

Have a think about it. Would you rather be a Labourer? Look at the market now, before an event, where labourers are being treated poorly. They will also have work but it will always be difficult for them. Don’t let that be you. Wouldn’t you rather be the gunsmith, the doctor, dentist, vet, blacksmith or just casual labour?